Ken's Blue Blog
Musings on "the bleedin' obvious"; views on the meaning of life, or anything else that takes my fancy.

Tuesday, August 03, 2021

Consensus Models Are Worse Than Worthless


Consensus models that combine optimistic and pessimistic models are worse than worthless, and most certainly should not be used for planning or forecasting.

Yet, these are the very models that the government have been using to manage the Covid outbreak!

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